Leave...or Elst
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (12 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 955 | 72% | 2026-06-07 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1076 | 1030 | 57% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 969 | 989 | 47% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-08-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1163 | 41% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1163 | 992 | 73% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1070 | 40% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1027.9 has a 54.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).