Forcing the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-12-30 | Won |
1069 | 1143 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1071 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).