Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 995 | 60% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 977 | 1019 | 44% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1023 | 963 | 59% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 995 | 59% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1134 | 970 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 938 | 75% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 983 | 997 | 48% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1102 | 58% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1134 | 49% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 894 | 72% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1140 | 33% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1150 | 66% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1027.8 has a 58.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).