Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1095 | 46% | 2024-11-01 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1019 | 57% | 2024-03-20 | | Won |
| 976 | 1059 | 38% | 2023-01-02 | | Lost |
| 987 | 945 | 56% | 2022-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1018 | 58% | 2020-01-29 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2019-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 970 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-01-20 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-01-10 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2016-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1102 | 59% | 2016-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1132 | 50% | 2015-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-03-25 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-11-01 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1141 | 32% | 2014-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1150 | 63% | 2014-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2014-06-16 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1086.2 vs 1040.9 has a 56.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).