Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (34 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese / Burmese): 67
Defender wins (British): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1292 | 1019 | 83% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
1175 | 804 | 89% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
1156 | 1142 | 52% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1049 | 1131 | 38% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
924 | 1242 | 14% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
924 | 1242 | 14% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
1118 | 1087 | 54% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
1026 | 987 | 56% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
1095 | 1115 | 47% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
1095 | 1115 | 47% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
1050 | 1001 | 57% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
983 | 1068 | 38% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
1133 | 1083 | 57% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
975 | 1008 | 45% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
884 | 1040 | 29% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
1016 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
1040 | 884 | 71% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
1014 | 1087 | 40% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1163 | 1083 | 61% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1083 | 1121 | 45% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
1106 | 1225 | 34% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
913 | 959 | 43% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
948 | 1083 | 31% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
1145 | 1008 | 69% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1062.9 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).