Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (35 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 72
Defender wins (British): 66
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
1296 | 1019 | 83% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
1143 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
1169 | 1132 | 55% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
855 | 1090 | 21% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
925 | 1242 | 14% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
925 | 1242 | 14% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
1118 | 1138 | 47% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
1026 | 1003 | 53% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
1047 | 1006 | 56% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
1003 | 1068 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1075 | 1071 | 51% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
1133 | 1069 | 59% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
884 | 1040 | 29% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
1015 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
1040 | 884 | 71% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
1014 | 1138 | 33% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1162 | 1069 | 63% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1069 | 1120 | 43% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
1191 | 1225 | 45% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
913 | 943 | 46% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
948 | 1069 | 33% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
1145 | 985 | 72% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1065.3 has a 46.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).