Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (13 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 917 | 56% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1077 | 26% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1139 | 54% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1139 | 46% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1094 | 35% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 820 | 937 | 34% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1048.5 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).