Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (13 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
962 | 1003 | 44% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
922 | 1048 | 33% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
1043 | 1011 | 55% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
1063 | 929 | 68% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
1075 | 1092 | 48% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
1168 | 1090 | 61% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
1110 | 1090 | 53% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
976 | 1094 | 34% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
818 | 943 | 33% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1046.5 has a 45.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).