Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (18 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 982 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1053 | 954 | 64% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1052 | 29% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1028 | 50% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1061 | 53% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1125 | 55% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1115 | 34% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1121 | 57% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 954 | 74% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1211 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1121 | 46% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1108 | 33% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2014-07-23 | Won |
| 818 | 884 | 41% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1066.3 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).