Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 40
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1097 | 1283 | 26% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
943 | 831 | 66% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1138 | 971 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
1117 | 1105 | 52% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
984 | 1141 | 29% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
1150 | 1068 | 62% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
985 | 967 | 53% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
1209 | 1307 | 36% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
1048 | 1129 | 39% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
1177 | 1048 | 68% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
1090 | 1127 | 45% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
1047 | 1103 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1097 | 991 | 65% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1089.2 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).