Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 1110 | 48% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
1066 | 1061 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
994 | 992 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
1038 | 999 | 56% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
969 | 1011 | 44% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
969 | 1011 | 44% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
1050 | 983 | 60% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
950 | 1183 | 21% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
1061 | 984 | 61% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
1094 | 1092 | 50% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
1048 | 1249 | 24% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
882 | 1055 | 27% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
960 | 1249 | 16% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
1242 | 1149 | 63% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
1055 | 882 | 73% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
1020 | 998 | 53% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
1016 | 917 | 64% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
930 | 939 | 49% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
1008 | 973 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
1137 | 1183 | 43% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
969 | 1054 | 38% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1047.4 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).