Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (21 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1035 | 48% | 2025-11-11 | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1187 | 32% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1066 | 48% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1091 | 60% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1117 | 45% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 957 | 60% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1030 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1039 | 48% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1236 | 17% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 947 | 62% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1236 | 24% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1128 | 982 | 70% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 890 | 68% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1057.2 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).