Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 37
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1060 | 885 | 73% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
921 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
1056 | 1007 | 57% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
1094 | 1120 | 46% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
1018 | 1032 | 48% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
1003 | 961 | 56% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
1107 | 1069 | 55% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
1051 | 1059 | 49% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
960 | 1211 | 19% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
1015 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
1051 | 887 | 72% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1040.5 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).