Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (17 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (Chinese): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
1057 | 1008 | 57% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
1115 | 1120 | 49% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
1010 | 961 | 57% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
1108 | 1063 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
1051 | 1058 | 49% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
959 | 1160 | 24% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
1016 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
1051 | 887 | 72% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1042.2 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).