Gallant Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1184 | 29% | 2026-03-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1125 | 48% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 945 | 62% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1165 | 1143 | 53% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1126 | 945 | 74% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1180 | 1028 | 71% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 988 | 1126 | 31% | 2013-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1069.9 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).