The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1031 | 45% | 2025-03-05 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1159 | 38% | 2021-04-22 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-10-17 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 1149 | 30% | 2013-07-14 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2013-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1082.1 has a 41.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).