The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
989 | 1032 | 44% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
1025 | 1055 | 46% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
1211 | 1281 | 40% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
1000 | 819 | 74% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
1109 | 873 | 80% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
930 | 1003 | 40% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
1055 | 940 | 66% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
948 | 1069 | 33% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1138 | 1122 | 52% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
943 | 945 | 50% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1044.5 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).