Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 980 | 53% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
1068 | 954 | 66% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
964 | 924 | 56% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
940 | 919 | 53% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
1211 | 1026 | 74% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
1138 | 916 | 78% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
973 | 1003 | 46% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
1004 | 1094 | 37% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
985 | 1051 | 41% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
1051 | 985 | 59% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
1013 | 1211 | 24% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
943 | 800 | 69% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1005.6 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).