Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (8 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2026-08-01 | | Won |
| 943 | 1003 | 41% | 2023-01-29 | | Won |
| 976 | 1025 | 43% | 2023-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2018-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2017-08-13 | | Lost |
| 990 | 699 | 84% | 2016-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2015-07-10 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 1028 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).