Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
961 | 1061 | 36% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
856 | 935 | 39% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
1282 | 1330 | 43% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
934 | 1110 | 27% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1117 | 991 | 67% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
929 | 1092 | 28% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
1292 | 1034 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
875 | 1330 | 7% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
1103 | 1103 | 50% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
955 | 882 | 60% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
1171 | 825 | 88% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
887 | 963 | 39% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
1000 | 929 | 60% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
1025 | 984 | 56% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
825 | 1006 | 26% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
1051 | 1103 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
979 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1037.9 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).