About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 952 | 72% | 2026-06-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 868 | 1088 | 22% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2024-08-29 | Won |
| 820 | 1037 | 22% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1043 | 40% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2022-08-29 | Tied |
| 1023 | 1225 | 24% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2020-10-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 889 | 66% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1083 | 49% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 943 | 1129 | 26% | 2015-04-03 | Won |
| 1226 | 1231 | 49% | 2014-12-22 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1039.7 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).