The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1169 | 1225 | 42% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
1067 | 1029 | 55% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
941 | 1035 | 37% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
992 | 1311 | 14% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
1147 | 1048 | 64% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
1096 | 887 | 77% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
1225 | 967 | 82% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
1125 | 1126 | 50% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
1138 | 985 | 71% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
984 | 1112 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
1097 | 1052 | 56% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1089.6 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).