A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 925 | 56% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
977 | 1059 | 38% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
1171 | 984 | 75% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1008 | 968 | 56% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
1129 | 1109 | 53% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
934 | 1115 | 26% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
1063 | 1284 | 22% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
1094 | 1050 | 56% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
939 | 989 | 43% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
947 | 887 | 59% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1046.2 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).