A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 1078 | 34% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
943 | 1059 | 34% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
1169 | 984 | 74% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1007 | 967 | 56% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
1094 | 1109 | 48% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
934 | 1094 | 28% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
1069 | 1283 | 23% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
1091 | 1047 | 56% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
939 | 985 | 43% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
945 | 887 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1038.9 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).