Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1222 | 1101 | 67% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 920 | 1020 | 36% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1193 | 1216 | 47% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1055 | 1216 | 28% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 942 | 57% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 862 | 72% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1053 | 39% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 927 | 74% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1077 | 48% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 947 | 1016 | 40% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1077 | 1148 | 40% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1077 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1118 | 992 | 67% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1034 | 58% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1074 | 919 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1137 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1132 | 45% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 948 | 83% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1034.7 has a 54.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).