Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1004 | 75% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 939 | 83% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 997 | 1039 | 44% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1070 | 977 | 63% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1125 | 1216 | 37% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1076 | 1216 | 31% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 862 | 84% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1019 | 44% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1028 | 67% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1075 | 44% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1107 | 1099 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1033 | 38% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1146 | 34% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1030 | 66% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1127 | 45% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1043 | 59% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1046 | 1081 | 45% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 906 | 72% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1070 | 65% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1120 | 1153 | 45% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1118 | 78% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1118 | 78% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1092.6 vs 1034.9 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).