Sting 'em at Zingem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (30 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Belgian): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
1149 | 1284 | 31% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
1171 | 917 | 81% | 2020-08-13 | Lost |
1159 | 1210 | 43% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
1063 | 1062 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
890 | 954 | 41% | 2019-09-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
1087 | 1003 | 62% | 2018-05-18 | Won |
1026 | 1176 | 30% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
1041 | 869 | 73% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
1307 | 1230 | 61% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
1109 | 984 | 67% | 2017-07-12 | Won |
1026 | 1010 | 52% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
1181 | 1095 | 62% | 2014-06-24 | Won |
959 | 1109 | 30% | 2014-04-19 | Lost |
1016 | 947 | 60% | 2014-02-09 | Lost |
1087 | 948 | 69% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
1225 | 1018 | 77% | 2013-10-02 | Lost |
887 | 1150 | 18% | 2013-08-12 | Lost |
974 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
1127 | 1022 | 65% | 2013-05-07 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2013-03-09 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
989 | 967 | 53% | 2013-01-25 | Lost |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2013-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1049.1 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).