Bienen Burnout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 780 | 90% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2021-04-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 998 | 48% | 2015-05-03 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2014-06-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-11 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1114 | 67% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 1099 | 32% | 2013-11-27 | Lost |
| 930 | 1034 | 35% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1384 | 18% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1141 | 54% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2012-12-29 | Won |
| 1062 | 1182 | 33% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1061.1 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).