It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (19 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
1141 | 1100 | 56% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
1029 | 1043 | 48% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
994 | 974 | 53% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
1021 | 1069 | 43% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
1026 | 1211 | 26% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
1015 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
987 | 941 | 57% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
933 | 979 | 43% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
918 | 1055 | 31% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
985 | 933 | 57% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
1003 | 977 | 54% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
945 | 1055 | 35% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1021.4 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).