The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (49 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 71
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 77
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 988 | 967 | 53% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 996 | 1080 | 38% | 2025-05-30 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1186 | 47% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1205 | 32% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 900 | 1040 | 31% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 1221 | 1046 | 73% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 995 | 59% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 948 | 72% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1221 | 752 | 94% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1221 | 752 | 94% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 1110 | 28% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1095 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 983 | 59% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 993 | 1126 | 32% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 917 | 1175 | 18% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 992 | 925 | 60% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1129 | 30% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2016-03-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 1108 | 63% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1134 | 51% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 920 | 64% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1081 | 1019 | 59% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2013-08-19 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1061 | 66% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 996 | 917 | 61% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1134 | 49% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1165 | 35% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1019 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1005 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1021.7 has a 55.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).