The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (31 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 62
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1153 | 1249 | 37% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
949 | 1049 | 36% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
1045 | 924 | 67% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
1153 | 804 | 88% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
1153 | 804 | 88% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
1139 | 1087 | 57% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
992 | 1104 | 34% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
1011 | 967 | 56% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
1087 | 1138 | 43% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
1327 | 1099 | 79% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
1149 | 989 | 72% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
1036 | 918 | 66% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
1036 | 918 | 66% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
1084 | 1083 | 50% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1135 | 986 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
994 | 917 | 61% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
1050 | 1001 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
1026 | 1083 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1014.9 has a 57.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).