Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (23 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 33
Defender wins (Hungarian): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1080 | 1134 | 42% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
1120 | 1113 | 51% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
954 | 1048 | 37% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1010 | 1072 | 41% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
1157 | 1028 | 68% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
900 | 1028 | 32% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
905 | 1223 | 14% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
1155 | 1064 | 63% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
861 | 1028 | 28% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
841 | 987 | 30% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
1115 | 941 | 73% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
1023 | 966 | 58% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
1033 | 1048 | 48% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
913 | 966 | 42% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
924 | 1037 | 34% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
987 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1048.4 has a 45.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).