Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (29 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 36
Defender wins (Hungarian): 57
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 0
Defender wins (Hungarian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-05-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1000 | 78% | 2026-05-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1033 | 47% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 984 | 65% | 2025-10-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 976 | 959 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 856 | 1000 | 30% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1104 | 35% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 925 | 61% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1007.6 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).