Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
921 | 1109 | 25% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
1078 | 958 | 67% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
1047 | 979 | 60% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
1059 | 1109 | 43% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
1076 | 1138 | 41% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
1158 | 985 | 73% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
830 | 943 | 34% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
1055 | 919 | 69% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1091 | 943 | 70% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1007.4 has a 56.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).