The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (British): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1195 | 49% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 966 | 837 | 68% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1160 | 943 | 78% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 954 | 57% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1169 | 1120 | 57% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 943 | 877 | 59% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1169 | 1161 | 51% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1136 | 1117 | 53% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 1033 | 753 | 83% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1076 | 70% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 864 | 70% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1042 | 1066 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1302 | 917 | 90% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 1289 | 27% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 943 | 1195 | 19% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1023 | 52% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 943 | 1195 | 19% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 964 | 75% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1127 | 37% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1033.6 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).