Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (18 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1270 | 27% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 852 | 77% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1221 | 1164 | 58% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1221 | 1202 | 53% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1170 | 996 | 73% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1004 | 86% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 933 | 1221 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1001 | 55% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 842 | 1193 | 12% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 861 | 1060 | 24% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 956 | 58% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1001 | 68% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1001 | 68% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1151 | 44% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1069.3 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).