The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1214 | 1030 | 74% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1271 | 27% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
938 | 887 | 57% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
1057 | 1040 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1146 | 887 | 82% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
1057 | 1112 | 42% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
1046 | 999 | 57% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1079.2 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).