Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
935 | 967 | 45% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
994 | 889 | 65% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1141 | 1003 | 69% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
1203 | 1311 | 35% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1056 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).