Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (6 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
1025 | 1208 | 26% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
1208 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
881 | 984 | 36% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
1108 | 1036 | 60% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1087.2 vs 1050.5 has a 55.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).