At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (13 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 1101 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1227 | 49% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 1223 | 41% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 975 | 61% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
| 943 | 981 | 45% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 1223 | 40% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
| 1154 | 1158 | 49% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
| 1128 | 1138 | 49% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 871 | 72% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
| 1154 | 963 | 75% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1105.8 vs 1089 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).