At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (12 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1225 | 1227 | 50% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
1159 | 1225 | 41% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1051 | 973 | 61% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
943 | 981 | 45% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
1150 | 1225 | 39% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
1136 | 1225 | 37% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
1003 | 1075 | 40% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
1055 | 877 | 74% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
1155 | 963 | 75% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.9 vs 1083.6 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).