The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1200 | 33% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2022-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 937 | 56% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 941 | 61% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1034 | 48% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1067 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1114 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1284 | 28% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 1183 | 969 | 77% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 953 | 61% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 937 | 749 | 75% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1049.8 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).