Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (14 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
938 | 1122 | 26% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
929 | 979 | 43% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
1124 | 1283 | 29% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
1081 | 882 | 76% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
1103 | 1188 | 38% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.5 vs 1060.6 has a 47.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).