HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
833 | 1096 | 18% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
996 | 1002 | 49% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
1027 | 1003 | 53% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
1124 | 1283 | 29% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
1283 | 1096 | 75% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
895 | 1283 | 10% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
1283 | 1100 | 74% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
1141 | 926 | 78% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
1105 | 985 | 67% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
1228 | 1276 | 43% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
881 | 914 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
992 | 1071 | 39% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1049.6 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).