HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 820 | 1090 | 17% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1085 | 40% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1090 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 841 | 1219 | 10% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1219 | 1105 | 66% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1158 | 926 | 79% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1114 | 1023 | 63% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 880 | 914 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 954 | 71% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1068 | 39% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1048.5 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).