HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 809 | 1083 | 17% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 917 | 63% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1216 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1083 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 866 | 1216 | 12% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1216 | 1138 | 61% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1184 | 926 | 82% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1106 | 67% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 880 | 914 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 954 | 70% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1068 | 39% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1033.5 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).