Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1096 | 833 | 82% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
1096 | 1283 | 25% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
856 | 1144 | 16% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
939 | 994 | 42% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
1068 | 1005 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1276 | 1228 | 57% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
947 | 1003 | 42% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
963 | 1155 | 25% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1058.5 has a 45.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).