The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1179 | 1179 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
1354 | 1330 | 53% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
986 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
825 | 1096 | 17% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
1010 | 1002 | 51% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1283 | 1124 | 71% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
1283 | 1096 | 75% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
1158 | 1097 | 59% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1228 | 1275 | 43% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
1283 | 979 | 85% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
1027 | 1018 | 51% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1111.4 vs 1068.4 has a 56.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).