The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1180 | 1180 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
1279 | 1289 | 49% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
1038 | 972 | 59% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
833 | 1102 | 18% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
1111 | 1083 | 54% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
994 | 1124 | 32% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1284 | 1125 | 71% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
1034 | 988 | 57% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
1284 | 1102 | 74% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1152 | 857 | 85% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1224 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1224 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
1158 | 1137 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
1000 | 1137 | 31% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1228 | 1271 | 44% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
1284 | 979 | 85% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
1188 | 983 | 76% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
983 | 1188 | 24% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
1092 | 1009 | 62% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1112.8 vs 1075.5 has a 55.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).