Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
942 | 954 | 48% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
1101 | 823 | 83% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
809 | 1087 | 17% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
977 | 1032 | 42% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
997 | 1089 | 37% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
965 | 1055 | 37% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
1082 | 1097 | 48% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1124 | 1284 | 28% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
1101 | 1284 | 26% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
1152 | 857 | 85% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
880 | 1000 | 33% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
1224 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
1154 | 1158 | 49% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
1106 | 969 | 69% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
889 | 1054 | 28% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
1271 | 1228 | 56% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
1054 | 1110 | 42% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
1133 | 1049 | 62% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
865 | 1008 | 31% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
896 | 933 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
963 | 953 | 51% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
1102 | 940 | 72% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
1102 | 940 | 72% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
1102 | 1118 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1047.7 has a 50.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).