Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (29 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
1000 | 978 | 53% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
986 | 919 | 60% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
982 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
1106 | 1000 | 65% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
995 | 1000 | 49% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
861 | 1000 | 31% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
1000 | 987 | 52% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
1000 | 861 | 69% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
880 | 880 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
853 | 1078 | 21% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 996.5 vs 999.1 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).