Silent Night, Deadly Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1126 | 1112 | 52% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
1179 | 1072 | 65% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
1193 | 1216 | 47% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
1046 | 1216 | 27% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
955 | 1019 | 41% | 2016-06-10 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1099.9 has a 48.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).