A Bloody Waste
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1195 | 23% | 2026-04-16 | Lost |
| 985 | 1175 | 25% | 2026-04-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 884 | 72% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2023-04-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1066 | 43% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1023 | 939 | 62% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1195 | 984 | 77% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2018-01-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-08-11 | Lost |
| 862 | 1134 | 17% | 2014-04-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-01-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 945 | 73% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 983 | 48% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1159 | 1029 | 68% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1214 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-06-02 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2012-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1070.1 has a 48.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).