Rude Mood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (18 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 44
Defender wins (German): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1113 | 1063 | 57% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1204 | 1023 | 74% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
1000 | 978 | 53% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
992 | 1010 | 47% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
1068 | 1025 | 56% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
1307 | 1186 | 67% | 2012-07-14 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-05-16 | Lost |
1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
989 | 1045 | 42% | 2012-02-19 | Lost |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
1108 | 1017 | 63% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1016.6 has a 57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).