Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (11 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
997 | 980 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
1040 | 977 | 59% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
1135 | 1040 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
1142 | 1273 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1029 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).