Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (11 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 31
Defender wins (American): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 986 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
996 | 979 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
1040 | 943 | 64% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
1135 | 1040 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
1075 | 1273 | 24% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.9 vs 1039.5 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).