BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (9 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1084 | 61% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1283 | 19% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 987 | 56% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1128 | 1129 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 969 | 58% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 977 | 70% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1343 | 16% | 2011-10-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1085 | 42% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 884 | 68% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1082.3 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).