BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Polish): 2
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-10-03 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 987 | 60% | 2012-02-17 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2011-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1343 | 16% | 2011-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1167 | 31% | 2011-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 966 | 57% | 2011-09-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1071.1 has a 48.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).