Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
948 | 948 | 50% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
1025 | 1048 | 47% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
779 | 1311 | 4% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
1022 | 857 | 72% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
1296 | 1238 | 58% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
1132 | 1211 | 39% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
1157 | 1033 | 67% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
1094 | 1101 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
1012 | 994 | 53% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
1138 | 919 | 78% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
1177 | 1048 | 68% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
953 | 1307 | 12% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
1311 | 1050 | 82% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
1068 | 1024 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
943 | 887 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
1009 | 1003 | 51% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
1055 | 1088 | 45% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
1014 | 1069 | 42% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
1153 | 1073 | 61% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
846 | 943 | 36% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
956 | 1097 | 31% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
1138 | 1142 | 49% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
1073 | 1004 | 60% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
1043 | 1086 | 44% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
1066 | 1063 | 50% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1058 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).