Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 948 | 54% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
1022 | 857 | 72% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
1128 | 1019 | 65% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
978 | 964 | 52% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
964 | 997 | 45% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
964 | 1050 | 38% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
964 | 961 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1064 | 1055 | 51% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
869 | 887 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
1180 | 1138 | 56% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1311 | 1195 | 66% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
1007 | 943 | 59% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
1006 | 1047 | 44% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
985 | 1105 | 33% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
1019 | 1245 | 21% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1063 | 1227 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
985 | 938 | 57% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
1088 | 1069 | 53% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1213 | 63% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
1119 | 952 | 72% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1063.3 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).