Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1023 | 55% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 941 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 913 | 64% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 996 | 70% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 988 | 49% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 999 | 48% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 988 | 1076 | 38% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 988 | 961 | 54% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1040 | 51% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1234 | 75% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 872 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1242 | 983 | 82% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 903 | 86% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1059 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 928 | 884 | 56% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 996 | 1243 | 19% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1253 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1131 | 30% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1276 | 1140 | 69% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1214 | 53% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1040 | 52% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1039.5 has a 54.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).