Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1052 | 50% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
1047 | 1283 | 20% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
1176 | 1307 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1137.8 has a 39.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).