Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 1007 | 46% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
989 | 861 | 68% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
1114 | 1052 | 59% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
1024 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
1047 | 994 | 58% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
1093 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
989 | 933 | 58% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1066.6 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).