Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (19 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 20
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2024-06-03 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 862 | 83% | 2016-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 974 | 62% | 2014-03-08 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2013-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2013-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2012-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2012-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2012-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2012-03-08 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-11-25 | | Won |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2011-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1343 | 17% | 2011-10-08 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1022 | 73% | 2011-04-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1074.8 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).