Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1124 | 1099 | 54% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
978 | 1007 | 46% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
985 | 861 | 67% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
1114 | 1071 | 56% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
1024 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
1047 | 1019 | 54% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
1022 | 1019 | 50% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
985 | 933 | 57% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1078 has a 45.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).