Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1139 | 959 | 74% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1139 | 35% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1077 | 68% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 917 | 1205 | 16% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1016 | 64% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1144 | 36% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 941 | 76% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 1022 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1056.6 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).