Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1108 | 970 | 69% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1231 | 20% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 866 | 86% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1342 | 986 | 89% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1129 | 28% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 1126 | 47% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1046.9 has a 54.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).