Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 960 | 73% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1302 | 14% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1061 | 68% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1195 | 1048 | 70% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1195 | 30% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1015 | 74% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1144 | 36% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1168 | 924 | 80% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1023 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1107 | 36% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1068.9 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).