Three Card Monty
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (3 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
951 | 1055 | 35% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
1050 | 1138 | 38% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1067.3 has a 44.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).