Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 1193 | 22% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
920 | 1087 | 28% | 2012-03-24 | Won |
1128 | 1019 | 65% | 2012-03-22 | Won |
1095 | 964 | 68% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
1110 | 970 | 69% | 2012-01-22 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-11-28 | Lost |
1108 | 948 | 72% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
1261 | 989 | 83% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1011.9 has a 57.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).