Death Rattle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (21 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 1027 | 41% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1028 | 1088 | 41% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1012 | 993 | 53% | 2024-02-23 | Won |
1216 | 1254 | 45% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1254 | 1216 | 55% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
997 | 997 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
1126 | 1010 | 66% | 2022-09-03 | Won |
1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
1041 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
1061 | 858 | 76% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
1011 | 967 | 56% | 2019-07-21 | Won |
1029 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-09 | Lost |
1108 | 1053 | 58% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
945 | 1038 | 37% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
945 | 1038 | 37% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
951 | 1327 | 10% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2011-11-21 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1082 has a 46.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).