Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (Canadian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1056 | 54% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
1041 | 1016 | 54% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
1142 | 944 | 76% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
1014 | 973 | 56% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
1003 | 979 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
997 | 1001 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
1057 | 986 | 60% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
1112 | 1323 | 23% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1039.7 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).